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The Resource Thinking in bets : making smarter decisions when you don't have all the facts, Annie Duke

Thinking in bets : making smarter decisions when you don't have all the facts, Annie Duke

Label
Thinking in bets : making smarter decisions when you don't have all the facts
Title
Thinking in bets
Title remainder
making smarter decisions when you don't have all the facts
Statement of responsibility
Annie Duke
Title variation
Making smarter decisions when you don't have all the facts
Creator
Author
Subject
Language
eng
Summary
"Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result. In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck? Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run"--
Assigning source
Provided by publisher
Cataloging source
DLC
http://library.link/vocab/creatorDate
1965-
http://library.link/vocab/creatorName
Duke, Annie
Dewey number
658.4/0353
Illustrations
illustrations
Index
index present
LC call number
HD30.6
LC item number
.D85 2018
Literary form
non fiction
Nature of contents
bibliography
http://library.link/vocab/subjectName
  • Management games
  • Decision making
Label
Thinking in bets : making smarter decisions when you don't have all the facts, Annie Duke
Instantiates
Publication
Copyright
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (pages [241]-266) and index
Carrier category
volume
Carrier category code
  • nc
Carrier MARC source
rdacarrier
Content category
text
Content type code
  • txt
Content type MARC source
rdacontent
Control code
ocn999443118
Dimensions
22 cm
Extent
ix, 276 pages
Isbn
9780735216358
Lccn
2017042666
Media category
unmediated
Media MARC source
rdamedia
Media type code
  • n
Other physical details
illustrations
Label
Thinking in bets : making smarter decisions when you don't have all the facts, Annie Duke
Publication
Copyright
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (pages [241]-266) and index
Carrier category
volume
Carrier category code
  • nc
Carrier MARC source
rdacarrier
Content category
text
Content type code
  • txt
Content type MARC source
rdacontent
Control code
ocn999443118
Dimensions
22 cm
Extent
ix, 276 pages
Isbn
9780735216358
Lccn
2017042666
Media category
unmediated
Media MARC source
rdamedia
Media type code
  • n
Other physical details
illustrations

Library Locations

    • Marion Public LibraryBorrow it
      1095 Sixth Avenue, Marion, IA, 52302, US
      42.032284 -91.59893
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